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Silver isn't just going up: it's changing the rules of the game
Have you seen it? In recent months, silver has done something that seemed impossible for decades: it has broken every record, every psychological barrier, every old limit that kept its price "under control".
With prices approaching $95 an ounce, we are not just witnessing a speculative rally. We are likely observing a much deeper change.
It's not 1980, and it's not the story of the Hunt brothers trying to corner the market by buying all available silver with borrowed money. Today, the movement is different: it's systemic. On one side, there's a huge mass of financial instruments – futures, ETFs, derivatives, paper promises – and on the other, there's a very concrete reality: Asia is absorbing increasing quantities of the metal. China, India, Singapore, and Dubai are importing at record rates. China, in particular, uses enormous quantities of silver for solar panel production and is buying directly from mines, reducing the available supply for Western markets.
And when finance meets the limits of physics, physics always tends to win.
From its 2024 low of $22, silver has grown by approximately +200%, more than gold (+120%). The gold/silver ratio has dropped from 85:1 to about 67:1, a sign that the market no longer considers silver just an industrial metal, but increasingly a monetary and protective asset, in a world where confidence in currencies and traditional finance is slowly eroding.
The most common explanations talk about Trump's tariffs, Chinese demand, and inflation. These are all real but partial factors. The deeper dynamic is another: after decades of expansion of "paper" finance, value is slowly returning to what is physical, tangible, and limited.
Normally, futures cost more than the spot price, because they include storage costs, insurance, and interest. Today, however, the opposite is happening: the immediate price of silver is higher than its future price. The market prefers to pay more to have silver now, rather than trust a future delivery.
Moreover, in several producing countries, there are various structural problems: temporary mine closures, environmental limits, water shortages, geopolitical tensions. All of this makes a strong increase in supply unlikely in the short term.
What to do, then, when the infinite of paper meets the finitude of matter? Given that we are heading towards a period when matter will dictate the rules, let's hold on to our household silver, cutlery, silver vases and plates, and if possible, buy other artifacts that will furnish our home and be a treasure-holding investment!
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